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Simulation: Arsenal with the title, Manchester United out of the top 4 30.01.2016

Specifically in figures, Arsenal has 45.3% chance to win the title, with a 3 percent more than Manchester City. This leader Lester has only 4.4% hope to triumph with the trophy in England, less even than the fourth at the moment, Tottenham, which is 5.6%.
In the top 4, however, apparently does not seem to be a place for Manchester Utd, for the second consecutive year. The Red Devils have 48% likely to stay out of the Champions League. There are expected to fall an arsenal, Manchester City, Tottenham and Leicester on the basis of calculations. Chelsea in turn still isn't fully written off for the top four in England by 3.3%.
Aston Villa has a 99% chance to fall, followed by Sunderland 74.7% and Norwich 41,3%.

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